Clinical outcomes of potential coeliac disease: a systematic review and meta-analysis.
Study Goal
The researchers aimed to evaluate the clinical outcomes of patients with potential coeliac disease (PCD), including progression rates to villous atrophy, seroconversion, and response to a gluten-free diet (GFD).
Results Summary
The study found that 33% of PCD patients developed villous atrophy over time, while a similar proportion experienced serology normalization despite a gluten-containing diet. Most symptomatic patients benefited from a GFD.
Population
Patients with potential coeliac disease (PCD), characterized by positive serological and genetic markers but preserved duodenal mucosa.
Effective Dosage
Not specified
Duration
Follow-up periods ranged from 5 months to 13 years, with most studies having at least 1 year of follow-up.
Interactions
None mentioned
| Intervention | Direction | Endpoint | Population | Dosage | Impact | Claim # |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
gluten-free diet | decrease | symptoms | symptomatic patients with potential coeliac disease | most | benefit from | #1 |
- | increase | villous atrophy | patients with potential coeliac disease | 33% | develop | #2 |
- | decrease | serology | patients with potential coeliac disease | similar proportion | experience normalisation of | #3 |
- | increase | villous atrophy | patients with potential coeliac disease | - | progression to | #4 |
- | increase | serological markers | patients with potential coeliac disease | - | seroconversion | #5 |
OBJECTIVE: Potential coeliac disease (PCD) is characterised by positive serological and genetic markers of coeliac disease with architecturally preserved duodenal mucosa. The clinical outcomes and rates of progression to overt coeliac disease in patients with PCD remain uncertain. In this systematic review and meta-analysis, we aimed to evaluate the clinical outcomes of patients with PCD. DESIGN: We searched Medline, Embase, Scopus and Cochrane Library from 1991 through May 2024 to identify studies evaluating the clinical outcomes of patients with PCD. The progression rates to villous atrophy, seroconversion and response to a gluten-free diet (GFD) were analysed. A random-effect meta-analysis was performed, and the results were reported as pooled proportions with 95% CIs. RESULTS: Seventeen studies comprising 1010 patients with PCD were included in the final analyses. The pooled prevalence of PCD among patients with suspected coeliac disease was 16% (95% CI 10% to 22%). The duration of follow-up in most of the studies was at least 1 year, with follow-up periods within individual studies ranging from 5 months to 13 years. During follow-up, 33% (95% CI 18% to 48%; I CONCLUSION: Almost a third of patients with PCD develop villous atrophy over time, whereas a similar proportion experience normalisation of serology despite a gluten-containing diet. Most symptomatic patients benefit from a GFD. These findings highlight the importance of structured follow-up and individualised management for patients with PCD.