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A dynamic online nomogram predicting severe vitamin D deficiency at ICU admission.

Clinical nutrition (Edinburgh, Scotland)
October 1, 2021
George Bou Kheir et al. (5 authors)
Journal ArticleObservational StudyHuman StudyClinical
Study Details

Study Goal

The researchers aimed to develop and validate a nomogram to predict severe vitamin D deficiency in ICU admissions to guide supplementation decisions.

Results Summary

The study identified age, gender, SOFA, SAPS3, and season of admission as significant predictors of severe vitamin D deficiency. The nomogram showed good discrimination (C-index 0.64) and clinical utility for identifying patients likely to benefit from supplementation.

Population

ICU admissions from an observational prospective cohort (n=3338) between January 2017 and December 2019.

Effective Dosage

Not specified

Duration

Not specified

Interactions

None mentioned

Extracted Claims (1)
InterventionDirectionEndpointPopulationDosageImpactClaim #
vitamin D supplementation
decrease
severe vitamin D deficiency
patients at ICU admission
-
could benefit the most
#1
Abstract

INTRODUCTION: Although prevalent and associated with worsened outcomes, vitamin D severe deficiency is not systematically searched among intensive care unit (ICU) admissions and waiting time for measurement results range from hours to few days. Hence, we developed and internally validated a simple nomogram for predicting severe vitamin D deficiency at ICU admission. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Data of 3338 ICU admissions from an observational prospective cohort registered between January 2017 and December 2019 were analyzed. Demographic data as well as severity scores and season of admission were obtained. After splitting the population into training and test sets, a least absolute shrinkage (LASSO) regression model was used to select factors and construct the nomogram. Calibration and discrimination were used to assess the nomogram performance. Clinical use was evaluated by a decision curve analysis. RESULTS: Age, gender, Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA), Simplified Acute Physiology Score III (SAPS3) and season of admission were identified by the LASSO regression analysis as significant predictors of vitamin D severe deficiency at ICU admission. The nomogram model showed good discrimination with a 1000 bootstrap analysis and good calibration with a C-index of 0.64. The decision curve analysis showed that at a threshold probability between 30% and 50%, using the nomogram adds more benefit that considering that all patients are severely deficient or non-severely deficient. CONCLUSIONS: This easy-to-use dynamic nomogram can help physicians to select patients that could benefit the most from vitamin D supplementation at ICU admission. External validation is needed to verify the generalizability of this nomogram.

Medical Subject Headings (MeSH)
AdultAgedBelgiumFemaleHospitalizationHumansIntensive Care UnitsMaleMiddle AgedNomogramsOrgan Dysfunction ScoresPatient AdmissionPredictive Value of TestsRegression AnalysisReproducibility of ResultsSeasonsSimplified Acute Physiology ScoreVitamin D Deficiency
Study Links
Quality Scores
SafetyNot Assessed
Efficacy75/10
Quality80/10
Citation Metrics
Total Citations13
Citations/Year3.3
Relative Citation Ratio0.96
NIH Percentile48.6%
Research Impact Scores
APT Score0.75
Weight Score2.52
Normalized Score0.66
Related Supplements
A dynamic online nomogram predicting severe vitamin D defici... | Panacea Index