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Evidence that calcium supplements reduce fracture risk is lacking.

Clinical journal of the American Society of Nephrology : CJASN
January 1, 2010
Ego Seeman
Journal ArticleResearch Support, Non-U.S. Gov'tReviewHuman Study
Study Details

Study Goal

The researchers aimed to evaluate whether calcium supplements effectively reduce fracture risk and whether calcium deficiency increases fracture rates.

Results Summary

The study found no credible evidence that calcium supplements reduce vertebral, nonvertebral, or hip fractures. Post hoc analyses suggested potential benefits in subgroups with low calcium intake, but these may be confounded by randomization violations. Some studies reported higher hip fracture rates and cardiac mortality with calcium supplementation, though causality remains unclear.

Population

General population, including calcium-replete and calcium-deficient individuals.

Effective Dosage

Not specified

Duration

Not specified

Interactions

None mentioned

Extracted Claims (9)
InterventionDirectionEndpointPopulationDosageImpactClaim #
calcium supplements
decrease
vertebral, nonvertebral, or hip fractures
-
-
reduce the risk
#1
calcium deficiency
increase
fracture rates
-
-
increases
#2
calcium supplements
decrease
fracture rates
-
-
reduce
#3
calcium supplements
no change
fractures
-
-
failed to detect antifracture efficacy
#4
calcium supplements
decrease
fractures
subgroups with a low calcium intake and compliers
-
reported fewer fractures
#5
calcium supplements
increase
hip fracture rates
patients
-
Higher hip fracture rates
#6
calcium supplements
increase
cardiac mortality
patients
-
higher cardiac mortality
#7
calcium supplementation
decrease
fracture risk
calcium-deficient group
-
benefit
#8
calcium supplementation
decrease
morbidity, mortality, and cost
-
-
demonstrate a net benefit
#9
Abstract

Credible evidence that calcium supplements reduce the risk of vertebral, nonvertebral, or hip fractures is lacking. Flaws in study design and execution such as inclusion of calcium-replete individuals, high dropout rates, and poor compliance preclude testing the hypothesis that calcium deficiency increases fracture rates or that calcium supplements reduce them. Intent-to-treat analyses of individual trials have failed to detect antifracture efficacy. Post hoc analyses of subgroups with a low calcium intake and per-protocol analyses of compliers have reported fewer fractures in the supplemented groups. However, this may be the result of confounding by violation of randomization; compliers to placebo have a lower morbidity and mortality than noncompliers. Higher hip fracture rates and cardiac mortality in patients receiving calcium supplements, as reported in some studies, may also be due to factors other than supplementation. Hypothesis testing requires that a cohort be stratified into calcium-deficient and calcium-replete groups, with each person randomized to a supplement or placebo. This design quantifies the risk of fracture attributable to calcium deficiency and any benefit that supplementation confers in the calcium-deficient and calcium-replete groups. To regard a calcium-deficient arm as unethical begs the question. Consensus statements that support the widespread use of calcium are opinion-based; they accept claims of beneficial effects despite flaws in study design, execution, and analysis; and they reject reported adverse effects because of them. Until well designed, well executed, and well analyzed studies demonstrate a net benefit in morbidity, mortality, and cost, recommendations supporting the widespread use of calcium supplementation remain belief-based and not evidence-based.

Medical Subject Headings (MeSH)
Bone DensityBone RemodelingCalciumCalcium, DietaryClinical Trials as TopicDietary SupplementsEvidence-Based MedicineFractures, BoneHumansNutrition PolicyPatient ComplianceResearch DesignRisk AssessmentTime FactorsTreatment Outcome
Study Links
Quality Scores
Safety40
Efficacy20/10
Quality60/10
Citation Metrics
Total Citations20
Citations/Year1.3
Relative Citation Ratio0.63
NIH Percentile34.2%
Research Impact Scores
APT Score0.75
Weight Score1.06
Normalized Score0.36
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